Wednesday, March 28, 2007

The winds of change

The results on Monday's provincial were surprising. I figured there would be a Liberal minority with the ADQ second but not as strongly as they were. It's a big story followed by the other big story: the PQ is now a third place party, garnering their lowest popular vote percentage since 1970.

I can only see this as a rejection of the PQ and their antiquated ideas. This trend began in the last federal election when the Conservatives had surprising success in Quebec, to the Bloc's detriment. As the most right-wing party in the province, the ADQ is enjoying similar gains. They took many votes from the Liberals as well but I feel the PQ should be worried more.

The PQ is showing itself to be a generational party. The old guard is gone or leaving and they have trouble attracting the younger people now. The romantic vision of a separate Quebec is seeming more antiquated with people. The PQ somewhat know this and certain segments of it pushed André Boisclair into leadership, figuring he's young and could connect with the youth of the province. They were wrong.

Boisclair has shown himself to be incredibly arrogant and out of touch with people. Pollster Jean-Marc Leger said to the Gazette on March 2nd, "The PQ was so eager for generational change, for a changing of the guard, that they didn't look at the type of individual they were electing." Forget that he's gay, the fact that Boisclair admitted to doing cocaine while in office apparently did not go over too well with most people. This is the point they needed to hook the youth of Quebec and instead, they lost most of them to the ADQ.

Meanwhile Mario Dumont, who has been around for ever but is only 36 years old, led an incredible surge for the ADQ. Psychologically, this is huge for them. It shows the public that they can be a real contender now. He'll probably prop up the Liberal government for 3 years or so, until his team of newbies gets experience. After that point, I can see the ADQ forming the next government of the province, with Liberals second and the PQ falling further behind in the rearview and into irrelevance.

All this means we'll likely have another federal election very shortly, with the Conservatives probably winning a majority by building on their gains last time and cleaning up the new ADQ ridings in Quebec. As for locally, this means we can finally debate real issues and politics to improve our lives instead of wasting so much breath, ink and energy about a hypocritical and economically devastating pursuit such as sovereignty.

4 comments:

chicounet said...

Yeah the drug thing is what turned me off the most about the PQ (that and sovereignty). I mean, being a regular latino Joe (or Jose for that matter), if I was caught doing drugs at work... not only would I lose my job... but I'd also end up in prison.

Boisclair got a slap on the wrist? How fortunate for him. It's that sort of double standard that turned me off.

chicounet said...

All and all, I was really disappointed with this election (and the results) and things don't bode well for the upcoming federal election...

What I find intriguing is the fact that most northern countries (north american and european) are shifting to the right-wing while we're getting news reports that many southern countries (south american) are shifting to the left-wing... Go figure.

mat said...

I was a bit tired of the ol' left wing in Quebec...I'm glad for the ADQ, hopefully this will help legitimize his party and he can recruit some quality candidates for the next election...

Vrej said...

I think he'll recruit but also groom some of his own. Some star candidates will probably emerge in the coming years.